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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Regulierung
  3. Elon's Tesla promises, Q1 26 Prop Bets
Manifold Markets

Elon's Tesla promises, Q1 26 Prop Bets

RegulierungOne-OffKITechnik6Mon
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsKein KYC
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Manifold Markets
At least 100 Cybercabs produced in 2026 99%
Führend unter 5 Optionen
Prognostiker

9

Fragetyp

multiple choice

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vorgestern

Veraltet
24. Apr. 26, 11:5531. Dez. 26, 16:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit
Manifold Markets
Roadster unveiled before May 24th 2026
0%

Gewähltes Ergebnis

At least 100 Cybercabs produced in 202699%

Regeln

Will Tesla/Elmo fulfill their projections/promises?

Manifold Markets
  • I reserve the right to modify resolution criteria based on feedback from comments up to Apr 27th.
  • All production questions only include items produced to be sold on the market, not prototypes or similar.
  • Robotaxis count only if running:
  • without a human driver
  • continuously without any definite end date or larger breaks in operation (no one-off stunts)

Verwandte Märkte

Manifold Markets

OpenAI highest valuation by end of June 2026

146,8 €
≥$0.6T: 100%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

SpaceX highest valuation by end of December 2026

380 €
≥$1T: 100%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

SpaceX highest valuation by end of June 2027

328 €
≥$1.75T: 97%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

0 €
Ja: 94%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

343.495 €
Anthropic: 88%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

45.220,4 €
Anthropic: 90%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,963.68+2.52%EthereumETH$1,660.88+1.86%SolanaSOL$65.35+1.78%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+1.60%BNBBNB$597.16+1.90%XRPXRP$1.12+0.59%

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Regeln

Will Tesla/Elmo fulfill their projections/promises?

Manifold Markets
  • I reserve the right to modify resolution criteria based on feedback from comments up to Apr 27th.
  • All production questions only include items produced to be sold on the market, not prototypes or similar.
  • Robotaxis count only if running:
  • without a human driver
  • continuously without any definite end date or larger breaks in operation (no one-off stunts)