Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 66.4%
Prognostiker
20
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet11. Feb. 24, 08:15 UTC1. Jan. 35, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
The Business Benefits of Mobile Entertainment Attractions
Manifold MarketsLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWill we get AGI before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhat will happen in the rest of September? (20 mana bonus in description)
Manifold MarketsWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiWill we get AGI before 2033?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Temperature stock : Don't resolve before 2035.
- Resolve after 2035 based on a survey (manifold poll) where people estimate if OpenAI actions and influence were good and aligned with humanity flurishing in the period [2024-2035].
Offene Märkte
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 135.247,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 102.709,4 €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,1 Mio. €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 324.994,1 €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Temperature market 🌡 : OpenAI business is good and aligned with humanity flurishing.?
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 66% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Temperature market 🌡 : OpenAI business is good and aligned with humanity flurishing. entschieden?
- Temperature market 🌡 : OpenAI business is good and aligned with humanity flurishing. soll am 1. Januar 2035 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Temperature market 🌡 : OpenAI business is good and aligned with humanity flurishing. abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Temperature stock : Don't resolve before 2035.