SOAI#10: Trump issues an unconstitutional executive order to ban state AI legislation.
US-PolitikKIOne-Off
Manifold MarketsGeschlossenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: No (70%)
Entschieden: 11.10.2026, 21:36
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Gewinnausgang
No
7 Tage vorher
20%
24 Stunden vorher
62%
KonsensWarnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 14.10.2026, 00:50 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Yes31.4%
No68.6%
Gewonnen
Verloren
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by which date?
PolymarketIn the US, will there be binding legislation or an executive order explicitly addressing AI risks by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsComprehensive federal AI legislation in 2026?
Kalshi[ACX 2026] Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic, OpenAI and DeepMind voluntarily act in accordance with Trump’s executive order 14409 for all of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?
FutuurRegeln
This market resolves to YES or NO as per the 2026 State of AI Report's self grading of its prediction #10: Trump issues an unconstitutional executive order to ban state AI legislation.
- If they do not issue a ruling by EOY 2026, I will resolve by asking Anthropic's best model to evaluate based on their exact wording.
- [image] Update 2026-10-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator is resolving the market to NO.