Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 25.10.2026, 20:15 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 93.7%
Prognostiker
7
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden
Veraltet7. Nov. 25, 12:03 UTC1. Jan. 27, 12:03 UTC
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Sarah Anderson et al prove Stability AI, Midjourney, and DeviantArt violated copyright laws in claim 1?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI’s valuation end of November 2026?
PolymarketOpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?
PolymarketWill Anthropic stock begin public trading on or before November 6, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by October 31?
PolymarketWill Anthropic's public Form S-1 appear on SEC EDGAR by October 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Sarah Friar remains the chief financial officer of OpenAI on January 1, 2027.
- Resolution will be determined by official OpenAI announcements, SEC filings, or major news sources confirming her employment status on that date.
- If Friar departs before January 1, 2027 and is replaced, the market resolves NO.
- If she takes a leave of absence but retains the CFO title, the market resolves YES.
- Sarah Friar has been the chief financial officer of OpenAI since June 2024.
