Manifold MarketsKein KYCAktuelle Community-PrognoseJ.D. Vance 39.4%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Prognostiker
19
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Tagen
Veraltet18. Mai 26, 11:0831. Juli 28, 23:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
J.D. Vance39%
Plattformen vergleichen· J.D. Vance
Sortiert nach 24h-Volumen| Plattform | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketAktivste | 40% | — | 1,3 Mio. € | 41,4 Mio. € | vor 10 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 Kalshi | 42% | — | 86.860,1 € | 31 Mio. € | vor 5 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| Manifold Markets | 40% | — | — | — | vor 7 Tagen | Öffnen → |
| Manifold MarketsDiese Seite | 39% | — | — | — | vor 9 Tagen | |
| Manifold Markets | 40% | — | — | — | vor 9 Tagen | Öffnen → |
 Limitless | 24% | — | 0 € | 0 € | vor 3 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 PredictIt | 37% | — | — | — | vor 3 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 Myriad | 44% | — | 0 € | 0 € | vor 3 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 Smarkets | 38% | — | 0 € | 0 € | vor 3 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
2J
49%
+0.1%40%
-0.2%25%
+125 weitere Ergebnisse
73 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen587,5 Mio. €
24h-Volumen1,3 Mio. €
POLYMARKETAuch verfügbar auf Kalshi
2028 Republican presidential nominee
0.2%2J
+0.2%1%
3%
+1.0%30%
+35 weitere Ergebnisse
73 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen44,4 Mio. €
24h-Volumen86.860,1 €
KALSHIAuch verfügbar auf Limitless
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
2J
23.5%
50%
2.9%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
28 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen13.337,1 €
24h-Volumen0 €
LIMITLESSAuch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Who will be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?
2J
2.8%
2%
0.1%
+35 weitere Ergebnisse
Community-Prognose799 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
Gesamtvolumen952.990,4 €
24h-Volumen2066,3 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSAuch verfügbar auf PredictIt
Who will win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
37%
29%
5%
+11 weitere Ergebnisse
Retail prediction exchange
Gesamtvolumen0 €
24h-Volumen0 €
PREDICTITAuch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028?
2J
1.8%
3%
0.5%
+22 weitere Ergebnisse
Community-Prognose62 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
Gesamtvolumen21.503,8 €
24h-Volumen102,7 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSAuch verfügbar auf Myriad
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
42.3%73J
-0.4%43.8%
+6.0%36.9%
+2.7%18.5%
+29 weitere Ergebnisse
28 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen0 €
24h-Volumen0 €
MYRIADAuch verfügbar auf Smarkets
Republican Presidential Nominee
0.2%
3.3%
0.1%
+24 weitere Ergebnisse
28 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen3707,1 €
24h-Volumen0 €
SMARKETSRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the individual who officially secures the Republican Party nomination for President of the United States in the 2028 election.
- The winner will be determined by the official results of the 2028 Republican National Convention.
- The market will resolve to the candidate who receives the majority of delegate votes required for the nomination.
- If a candidate other than those listed becomes the nominee, the "Other" option will resolve to YES.
- If the 2028 Republican National Convention is cancelled or if the party fails to nominate a candidate, the market will resolve N/A.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Verwandte Märkte
Presidential Election Winner 2028
2,9 Mio. €JD Vance: 20%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Graham Platner drop out?
2,3 Mio. €Before Jul 14, 2026: 94%KALSHI
KALSHI
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
1 Mio. €Gavin Newsom: 19%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Graham Platner drop out by...?
448.293,5 €November 2: 99%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
What will Trump say this week?
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KALSHI
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
150.865,5 €James Fishback: 4%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the individual who officially secures the Republican Party nomination for President of the United States in the 2028 election.
- The winner will be determined by the official results of the 2028 Republican National Convention.
- The market will resolve to the candidate who receives the majority of delegate votes required for the nomination.
- If a candidate other than those listed becomes the nominee, the "Other" option will resolve to YES.
- If the 2028 Republican National Convention is cancelled or if the party fails to nominate a candidate, the market will resolve N/A.