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Daten vom 25.10.2026, 17:00 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseHodge Conjecture 38.9%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Prognostiker
58
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+2.9 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet9. Sept. 26, 11:25 UTC31. Dez. 30, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will an unsolved millenium prize problem be solved by AI by the end of 2028
Manifold MarketsWill *any* remaining Millenium Prize problem be solved entirely or mostly by humans?
Manifold MarketsWill *any* remaining Millenium Prize problem be solved entirely or mostly by humans?
Manifold MarketsWill an unsolved millenium prize problem be solved by AI by the end of 2028
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketWhich Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?
KalshiRegeln
Resolves to the next problem considered to be solved by the consensus of the mathematical community.
- The actual prize isn’t strictly necessary for resolution, but it should be the formulation of the problem eligible for the prize.
- If OpenAI’s claimed proof of Navier-Stokes is found to be flawed, that is ignored for the purposes of this market (i.e., it resolves to the next of these 5 listed problems to be considered solved, even if NS is “solved” in the future).