Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 91%
Prognostiker
3
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden
Veraltet3. Sept. 26, 01:18 UTC31. Dez. 26, 02:14 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the next James Bond (after "No Time To Die") be played by a woman?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next Bond girl?
Manifold MarketsWhat will the next Bond film make at the box office?
Manifold MarketsRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiWhat will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
PolymarketWild Horse Nine · Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiRegeln
1 Callum Turner
- 2 Jack Lowden
- 3 Jack Barton
- 4 Someone Else
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve based on the first official announcement from Amazon MGM Studios, Eon Productions, or a major reputable Hollywood trade publication (such as Variety, The Hollywood Reporter, or Deadline) confirming the actor cast to play the next James Bond (007) in the official film franchise (often referred to as "Bond 26").
Offene Märkte
US PoliticsPOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+0.3pt100%
- $25M+0.2pt100%
- $50M+1.2pt100%
+11 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 3,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,5 Mio. €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt85%
- Republican Party15%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 25,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 417.972,2 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt50.4%
- October 31-2.5pt27.8%
- September 30-1.0pt12.2%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhat will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Democrat+16.0pt82%
- Communist / Communism+13.0pt75%
- MAGA / Make America Great Again+7.0pt75%
+36 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.6pt19%
- Jon Ossoff+0.3pt16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.2pt14%
+48 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHITX-15 House winner?
- Bobby Pulido+6.0pt59.2%
- Monica De La Cruz-4.0pt40.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 217.416,4 €
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- What will Trump say this week?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Texas Senate winner?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Will Donald Trump issue a public apology?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Next Bond?
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 91% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird Next Bond entschieden?
- Next Bond soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Next Bond abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: 1 Callum Turner