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Will OpenAI claim GPT-5 is AGI within 30 days after its release?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- Resolution criteria
- This question would resolve positively if OpenAI posts on its website that it has achieved AGI within 30 days after GPT-5's release.
- If OpenAI lists this on its website before the release of GPT-5, the question would also resolve positively.
- Furthermore, this question would resolve positively if any member of the OpenAI leadership claims (on the record) that OpenAI has achieved AGI with GPT-5 within 30 days after the release of GPT-5 (before the release would also count).
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- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für [Metaculus] Will OpenAI claim GPT-5 is AGI within 30 days after its release??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 99% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird [Metaculus] Will OpenAI claim GPT-5 is AGI within 30 days after its release? entschieden?
- [Metaculus] Will OpenAI claim GPT-5 is AGI within 30 days after its release? soll am 2. Januar 2030 entschieden werden.
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