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Veraltet9. Apr. 24, 02:49 UTC2. Jan. 27, 12:00 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will any China-domestic AI chip reach ≥80% of NVIDIA H100 perf on a public benchmark before 2026-12-31?
Manifold MarketsWill China deploy domestic EUV sub-7nm chips for major tech by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsChina provides Russia >100k AI chips by 2030?
Manifold MarketsA plane carrying NVIDIA AI chips for delivery is shot down or crashes under suspicious circumstances by mid 2027
Manifold MarketsWill Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
PolymarketWill Nvidia's Blackwell chips be sold in China by the end of 2026?
FutuurRegeln
Will a Chinese firm make a large order of domestic AI chips before 2027?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/20460/?theme=dark)Resolution criteria
- This question resolves as Yes if a Chinese-headquartered firm orders >20,000 domestically designed and fabricated AI chips before January 1, 2027, based on a credible report.
- It resolves as No otherwise.
- Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
