Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 50.8%
Prognostiker
3
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden
Veraltet24. Okt. 26, 05:59 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Alcoa Corporation's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 2.6 million tonnes?
Manifold MarketsWill any of Petrobras, Banco do Brasil or Caixa Economica Federal be privatized until EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill ExxonMobil or ConocoPhillips officially announce a new joint venture or production agreement in Venezuela in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Brazilian Federal Government have a majority stake in Companhia Energética de Minas Gerais (CEMIG) before 2027?
Manifold MarketsMeta’s Market Cap end of October 2026?
PolymarketOpenAI’s valuation end of November 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Mercado Pago (or its parent company MercadoLibre, specifically for Mercado Pago’s operations) receives official regulatory authorization to operate as a full commercial/multiple banking institution (e.g., Institución de Banca Múltiple in Mexico or a full banking charter/license in any primary operating jurisdiction such as Mexico or Brazil) before January 1, 2027, 00:00 UTC.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Resolution will be verified using official announcements from relevant financial regulators (such as Mexico's Comisión Nacional Bancaria y de Valores (CNBV) or Brazil's Banco Central do Brasil (BCB)) or official investor relations disclosures and press releases from MercadoLibre confirming receipt of a banking license.
- Note: Maintaining or securing non-bank fintech registrations (such as an Electronic Payment Funds Institution / IFPE license in Mexico or a payment institution / IP license in Brazil) does not qualify; the license granted must explicitly be a full banking license.
- Preliminary or conditional approvals qualify only if official regulatory documentation confirms full authorization to operate or establish the banking entity.
