Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 90.9%
Prognostiker
6
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden
Veraltet26. Juni 25, 06:15 UTC31. Dez. 29, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Mount Vesuvius erupt before 2030?
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KalshiWill Yellowstone erupt before 2031?
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PolymarketHow many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
PolymarketRegeln
Following the latest RealLifeLore video:
- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fJHkHeHFuhg https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lake_Kivu
- As far as I can understand, there can be very small degassing events, so for the resolution of this market I'm choosing a threshold of 100 people dead.
Offene Märkte
WeatherPOLYMARKETHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9?
- 32°C+90.5pt100%
- 25°C or below-0.1pt0%
- 26°C0%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 141.050,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 129.051,1 €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- 22°C+77.4pt100%
- 17°C or below-1.1pt0%
- 18°C-4.0pt0%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+68.5pt100%
- 21°C or below-0.3pt0%
- 22°C-0.9pt0%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
- 93° or above87.6%
- 91° to 92°7.6%
- 89° to 90°1.9%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 72.154,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 71.773,9 €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 9, 2026?
- Miami+44.0pt99%
- Chicago+13.0pt99%
- Houston64%
+19 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 71.632,8 €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 9?
- 28°C+47.0pt100%
- 24°C or below0%
- 25°C-0.1pt0%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Milan on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 9?
- Highest temperature in London on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Taipei on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 9?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Lake Kivu erupt before 2030??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 91% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Lake Kivu erupt before 2030? entschieden?
- Lake Kivu erupt before 2030? soll am 31. Dezember 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Lake Kivu erupt before 2030? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Following the latest RealLifeLore video: