KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 78%
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
9529,8 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
22.6% / 28.0%
Spread
5.4 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
18. Juli 25, 14:00 UTC1. Jan. 50, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
When will the Yellowstone Supervolcano erupt next?
Manifold MarketsLake Kivu erupt before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Mount Vesuvius erupt before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiWill there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
KalshiRegeln
If a supervolcano erupts before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.
Offene Märkte
WeatherKALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 10, 2026?
- New York City+68.0pt99%
- Boston+46.0pt99%
- Oklahoma City+11.0pt99%
+19 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 251.422,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 244.252,9 €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 10, 2026?
- 91° or above+29.0pt92.4%
- 89° to 90°-20.0pt3.8%
- 87° to 88°-9.0pt0.9%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 10, 2026?
- 90° to 91°+40.0pt79.8%
- 92° to 93°16.5%
- 88° to 89°-31.0pt0.9%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 100.984,2 €
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 10, 2026?
- 85° to 86°+27.0pt66.3%
- 84° or below-12.0pt15.4%
- 87° to 88°-12.0pt15.4%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIWhat will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?
- Fay+2.0pt37%
- Gonzalo+2.0pt27%
- Hanna+4.0pt16%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIHighest temperature in Oklahoma City on Sep 10, 2026?
- 85° to 86°+23.0pt44.8%
- 87° to 88°-3.0pt18.1%
- 89° to 90°+11.0pt16.4%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 10, 2026?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 10, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 10, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Seattle on Sep 10, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 11?
- Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 11?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 11?
- Highest temperature in Houston on Sep 10, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 11?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 10, 2026?
- Highest temperature in London on September 11?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will a supervolcano erupt before 2050??
- Kalshi bewertet No mit 78% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will a supervolcano erupt before 2050? entschieden?
- Will a supervolcano erupt before 2050? soll am 1. Januar 2050 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will a supervolcano erupt before 2050? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If a supervolcano erupts before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.