Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 17.07.2026, 17:20 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-2
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseBenjamin Netanyahu 18.3%Führend unter 7 Optionen
Prognostiker
7
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Tagen
Veraltet15. Juli 26, 18:5930. Dez. 26, 23:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Benjamin Netanyahu18%
Plattformen vergleichen· Gadi Eizenkot
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt97% Übereinstimmung · auto | Mittel | 52% | — | 455.387,9 € | 1,9 Mio. € | vor 3 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 Kalshi83% Übereinstimmung · verknüpft | Mittel | 52% | — | 1698,9 € | 35.437,8 € | vor 23 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 Futuur68% Übereinstimmung · verknüpft | Niedrig | 53% | — | 0 € | 3109,8 € | vor 23 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 Limitless90% Übereinstimmung · verknüpft | Niedrig | 52% | — | 0 € | 0 € | vor 23 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| Manifold Markets90% Übereinstimmung · verknüpft | — | 46% | — | — | — | vor 35 Tagen | Öffnen → |
| Manifold Markets78% Übereinstimmung · verknüpft | — | 51% | — | — | — | vor 8 Tagen | Öffnen → |
| Manifold MarketsDiese Seite | — | 48% | — | — | — | vor 8 Tagen | |
 PredictIt69% Übereinstimmung · verknüpft | — | 42% | — | — | — | vor 23 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
5Mon
+3.5%52%
-2.0%34%
-1.0%7%
+25 weitere Ergebnisse
73 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen26,1 Mio. €
24h-Volumen455.387,9 €
POLYMARKETAuch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
3J
46%
23.7%
17.4%
+13 weitere Ergebnisse
Community-Prognose49 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAuch verfügbar auf Limitless
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after next election?
1J
52%
50%
50%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
28 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen3289,7 €
24h-Volumen0 €
LIMITLESSAuch verfügbar auf Kalshi
Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
2.0%1J
+4.0%52%
-2.0%33%
+8.0%10%
+15 weitere Ergebnisse
64 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen62.220,3 €
24h-Volumen1698,9 €
KALSHIAuch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Who will be the Israeli PM after the next election?
3Mon
+8.1%51.2%
-0.5%37.5%
-7.6%7.7%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
Community-Prognose100 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAuch verfügbar auf PredictIt
Who will be the Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
9.0%3J
-9.0%42%
16%
-3.0%9%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITAuch verfügbar auf Futuur
Israel’s next prime minister after the 2026 election
3Mon
53%
37%
9%
44 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntMittlere LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen879,4 €
24h-Volumen0 €
FUTUURRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially sworn in as the Prime Minister of Israel by the Knesset following the next legislative election (scheduled for October 27, 2026, or sooner if a snap election is triggered beforehand).
- "Sworn In" Definition: The resolution will be determined by the first person who successfully forms a government and takes the oath of office in the Knesset.
- In the event of a rotational premiership agreement, the individual who serves as Prime Minister first will be the resolving winner.
- Hung Knesset: This option will resolve to YES if the Knesset elected in the next election fails to form a governing coalition within the legally mandated timeframe.
- A caretaker Prime Minister continuing to serve in an interim capacity during this political deadlock does not count as being sworn in for a new term.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Große Trades
$1.2k66.0%POLYMARKETWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — NoGeoStrategistProvor 6 Std.
POLYMARKETWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — NoGeoStrategistProvor 6 Std.$11.4k99.4%POLYMARKETWill Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — NoALONE36vor 21 Std.
POLYMARKETWill Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — NoALONE36vor 21 Std.$6.3k62.0%POLYMARKETWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — Noflawfencevor 3 Tagen
POLYMARKETWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — Noflawfencevor 3 Tagen$11.0k99.8%POLYMARKETWill Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — NoALONE36vor 6 Tagen
POLYMARKETWill Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — NoALONE36vor 6 Tagen$1.1k99.6%POLYMARKETWill Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — Nohklcryptvor 8 Tagen
POLYMARKETWill Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — Nohklcryptvor 8 Tagen$6.6k32.2%POLYMARKETWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — YesFussy-Countrysidevor 8 Tagen
POLYMARKETWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — YesFussy-Countrysidevor 8 Tagen$5.2k99.8%POLYMARKETWill Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — No0xe5da…03a1vor 11 Tagen
POLYMARKETWill Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — No0xe5da…03a1vor 11 Tagen$1.0k99.7%POLYMARKETWill Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — NoCarpentervor 13 Tagen
POLYMARKETWill Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — NoCarpentervor 13 TagenVolumentrend
$45115. Juli3T Daten17. Juli
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially sworn in as the Prime Minister of Israel by the Knesset following the next legislative election (scheduled for October 27, 2026, or sooner if a snap election is triggered beforehand).
- "Sworn In" Definition: The resolution will be determined by the first person who successfully forms a government and takes the oath of office in the Knesset.
- In the event of a rotational premiership agreement, the individual who serves as Prime Minister first will be the resolving winner.
- Hung Knesset: This option will resolve to YES if the Knesset elected in the next election fails to form a governing coalition within the legally mandated timeframe.
- A caretaker Prime Minister continuing to serve in an interim capacity during this political deadlock does not count as being sworn in for a new term.