Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 82.5%
Prognostiker
14
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Stunden
Veraltet19. Dez. 25, 23:57 UTC1. Jan. 30, 23:47 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?
KalshiWill any data center be attacked to oppose AI development by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Microsoft power its data center with SMR(Small Modular Reactor) by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Congress pass legislation explicitly authorizing or funding the White House Ballroom project by Jan 3, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Kevin O'Leary's Utah Data Center project break ground in 2026?
PolymarketWhen will Trump's ballroom be completed?
KalshiRegeln
Resolves YES with large-scale credible evidence or Trump/white house staff themselves reveals that the ballroom project is also an underground data center.
- Resolves NO if the ballroom is finished and certainly contains no underground data center.
- The underground portion of construction has to be on white house ground near or directly under the above ground portion of new construction replacing the demolished east wing.
- It must include a data center to resolve yes but also can include other elements.
- (https://www.youtube.com/embed/VbJ4ilDvGyc?si=4devuDvE-Z_aaxsS)Update 2025-12-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will determine resolution based on how the underground/protected portion is presented or announced in credible details.
- If the language used is mainly "data center" or "data storage/processing facility", the market can resolve YES.
Offene Märkte
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 12,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 182.343,6 €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt40%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-5.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-16.0pt33%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 202795%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,4 Mio. €
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt20.4%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.4%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt18.4%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Space Exploration Technologies' Market Cap end of September 2026?
- Will Delaware raise its corporate franchise tax?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Is Trump's ballroom project an underground data center??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 83% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Is Trump's ballroom project an underground data center? entschieden?
- Is Trump's ballroom project an underground data center? soll am 1. Januar 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Is Trump's ballroom project an underground data center? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves YES with large-scale credible evidence or Trump/white house staff themselves reveals that the ballroom project is also an underground data center.