Aktuelle Community-Prognose
2026 91%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Prognostiker
143
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Stunden
Veraltet27. Mai 24, 16:25 UTC1. Jan. 31, 22:59 UTC
Trends
0.4%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
When will the first RISUG procedure become commercially available?
Manifold MarketsWill Waymo and Uber die due to Tesla Robotaxi Service by 2028
Manifold MarketsTesla robotaxi on fire by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketGemini 4.0 released by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Condition for resolving this market:
- At least 10000 commercial rides have happened
- Tesla's robotaxi is available to the general public in the US.
- So not behind a waitlist.
- The robotaxis are fully driverless and FSD.
- The type of car doesn’t matter nor if it has a steering wheel.
Offene Märkte
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 135.247,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 102.709,4 €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,1 Mio. €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 324.994,1 €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für In what year will Tesla's robotaxi become commercially operational in the US??
- Manifold Markets bewertet 2026 mit 91% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird In what year will Tesla's robotaxi become commercially operational in the US? entschieden?
- In what year will Tesla's robotaxi become commercially operational in the US? soll am 1. Januar 2031 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird In what year will Tesla's robotaxi become commercially operational in the US? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Condition for resolving this market: