In 2028, will LLMs still be able to get Gary Marcus to make egregious errors?

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Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für In 2028, will LLMs still be able to get Gary Marcus to make egregious errors??

Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 91.7% (Stand: 23. Oktober 2026).

Wann wird In 2028, will LLMs still be able to get Gary Marcus to make egregious errors? entschieden?

In 2028, will LLMs still be able to get Gary Marcus to make egregious errors? soll am 2. Januar 2028 entschieden werden.

Wie wird In 2028, will LLMs still be able to get Gary Marcus to make egregious errors? abgerechnet?

Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: resolves YES

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POLYMARKET

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by which date?

• 2029+3.5pt23%
• 2028+1.0pt18%
• 2027-1.0pt9%

Gesamtvolumen

2,3 Mio. €

24h-Volumen

203.545,5 €

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+3.0pt89%
• Anthropic-1.5pt10%
• OpenAI-0.1pt1%

+18 weitere Ergebnisse

POLYMARKET

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?

• December 31+3.7pt93%
• October 31-27.9pt24%
• October 30-26.5pt23%

+17 weitere Ergebnisse

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+1.0pt91.5%
• Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt91.5%
• Before Feb 1, 2027+1.0pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+1.5pt26.9%
• $2.0–$2.25T+1.1pt21.1%
• $1.5–$1.75T+3.7pt19.2%

+7 weitere Ergebnisse

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,-6.0pt81%
• December 15,-2.5pt80%
• November 30,-3.5pt69%

+9 weitere Ergebnisse

• Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• Best AI at the end of 2026?
• Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?
• Best AI in Oct 2026?
• Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on?
• OpenAI market share this week
• DeepSeek market share this week
• OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
• Anthropic market share this week