In 20 years, will the employment:population ratio for prime-age Americans be below 70%?
One-OffKIMacro & Economy17JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 52%
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Veraltet2. Nov. 23, 12:30 UTC31. Dez. 43, 23:59 UTC
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As per the Twitter debate between Robin Hanson (@robinhanson) and Daniel Colson (@DanielColson6), this question - which was suggested by Daniel - looks to measure the impact of AI on jobs in the US.
- The data used to close the question to yes or no will be FRED's Employment Population Ratio 25-54 yrs. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/LNS12300060
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für In 20 years, will the employment:population ratio for prime-age Americans be below 70%??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 52% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird In 20 years, will the employment:population ratio for prime-age Americans be below 70%? entschieden?
- In 20 years, will the employment:population ratio for prime-age Americans be below 70%? soll am 31. Dezember 2043 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird In 20 years, will the employment:population ratio for prime-age Americans be below 70%? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: As per the Twitter debate between Robin Hanson (@robinhanson) and Daniel Colson (@DanielColson6), this question - which was suggested by Daniel - looks to measure the impact of AI on jobs in the US.