Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Pete Buttigieg 59.3%Führend unter 24 Optionen
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32
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
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0.0 pts
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Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden
Veraltet20. Nov. 24, 00:30 UTC19. Feb. 29, 04:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsPete Buttigieg will be the Democratic nominee for President in 2028.
Manifold MarketsWho will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028? [limited responses for less lag]
Manifold MarketsLA-01 Democratic nominee?
KalshiLA-04 Democratic nominee?
KalshiLA-03 Democratic nominee?
KalshiRegeln
Once a nominee is chosen at the Democratic convention, all non-nominees will resolve N/A, leaving only the nominee.
- Then this market will convert to "Will NOMINEE win the 2028 presidential election?"
- I reserve the right to remove or modify duplicates or joke answers.
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/predyx_markets/which-wing-will-win-the-us-presiden?play=true)
Offene Märkte
base
POLYMARKETWill Base launch a token by ___ ?
- December 31, 2027+6.0pt56.8%
- June 30, 202734.2%
- December 31, 20268.1%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 6,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 77.931,3 €
POLYMARKETBase FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $500M59%
- $1B-1.0pt49%
- $2B43%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 644.114,2 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSHow many Traders will my 2026 Spotify Market get?
- 70+100%
- 80+100%
- 90+100%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 58.576,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 389,7 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 2000 by the end of 2027? (Ark Invest price target - base case)
- No94.4%
- Yes5.6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 79.988,3 €
- 24h-Volumen
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSHow many regular-season wins will the New York Giants have in the 2026 NFL season under Jim Harbaugh?
- 5–7 wins40.2%
- 8-9 wins30.2%
- 10-11 wins13.2%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 97,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhich job should I accept? [M$10,000 subsidy]
- If I accept the Penguin job, at what will I rate my overall life satisfaction in 2 years, on a scale of 0-100?79.6%
- If I accept the Penguin job, will I believe it to have been the correct decision in 6 months?74.6%
- If I accept the Penguin job, will I believe it to have been the correct decision in 4 years?63.9%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- When will the first commercially viable nuclear fusion power plant be built?
- What is the base of the next nice number?
- What countries will acquire sovereign territory or economic rights within any part of Greenland in 2026?
- What will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2030?
- Which country will the Chagos Islands belong to on 31 December 2049?
- What share of global energy will come from nuclear power?
- Will NASA start building a moon base before 2036?
- If AI wipes out humanity, which organization(s) will be primarily responsible for the development of this AI?
- Will there be at least one Bank of England Base Rate increase before the end of 2026?
- Before when will Gateway be cancelled/abandoned?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für If X is the Democratic nominee for president in 2028, will they win the presidency??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Pete Buttigieg mit 59% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird If X is the Democratic nominee for president in 2028, will they win the presidency? entschieden?
- If X is the Democratic nominee for president in 2028, will they win the presidency? soll am 19. Februar 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird If X is the Democratic nominee for president in 2028, will they win the presidency? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Once a nominee is chosen at the Democratic convention, all non-nominees will resolve N/A, leaving only the nominee.