Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseOther 46.7%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Prognostiker
47
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+0.7 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet3. Nov. 23, 21:22 UTC2. Jan. 29, 04:59 UTC
Trends
0.1%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Who will be elected President in 2028? (limited choices)
Manifold MarketsWho will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsPete Buttigieg will be the Democratic nominee for President in 2028.
Manifold MarketsLA-01 Democratic nominee?
KalshiLA-04 Democratic nominee?
KalshiLA-03 Democratic nominee?
KalshiRegeln
Resolves to 100% whoever is chosen as the nominee at the Democratic National Convention in 2028
- Resolves to "None" if no one is nominated or if their is no convention.
- If for some reason the convention is postponed then this market resolves to whoever is nominated in the postponed convention.
- Unless the "postponed" convention takes place in or after 2032, in which case it resolves "None"
- This market is a duplicate of this one and will resolve identically.
- The purpose of this market is to create a market which has less lag.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsKALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+81.8pt100%
- Maura Sullivan-81.6pt0%
- Carleigh Beriont-2.7pt0%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 957.304,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 760.707,9 €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.2%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.1%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-3.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.9pt45.5%
- Renan Santos1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+2.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-1.3pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.6pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.2pt37.1%
- Édouard Philippe32%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.4%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- NJ-07 House winner?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028? [limited responses for less lag]?
- Manifold Markets bewertet Other mit 47% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028? [limited responses for less lag] entschieden?
- Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028? [limited responses for less lag] soll am 2. Januar 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028? [limited responses for less lag] abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves to 100% whoever is chosen as the nominee at the Democratic National Convention in 2028