Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseOther 60.8%+0.5ptFührend unter 4 Optionen
Prognostiker
33
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+2.7 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 26 Minuten
2. Sept. 25, 22:37 UTC5. Nov. 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028? [limited responses for less lag]
Manifold MarketsWho will be elected president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWho will be elected president in the 2028 US election?
Manifold MarketsWill Ron DeSantis be elected President in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurWill Gavin Newsom be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurRegeln
Do we really need another market for this topic? Maybe! Multiple choice questions with lots of answers are awkward; this one will aim to have few answers rather than being all-inclusive.
- These seem to be the major other markets for this question:
- @/Tetraspace/who-will-be-elected-president-in-20
- @/goldenes56/who-will-be-elected-president-in-th-6ecda2cc8128@/ManifoldPolitics/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-a84qq6ejnj
- @/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a
- If any option (including other) is trading in the top 3, or >20%, in either of those markets for at least 48 hours, I'll add it to this one (please feel encouraged to point out if this is happening!).
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
- Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets — Will the 2028 presidential election winner be a millennial? · No 81%
- Auch verfügbar auf Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winner · JVAN 27%
- Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 19%
- Auch verfügbar auf Limitless — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 19%
- Auch verfügbar auf Smarkets — 2028 Presidential Election Winner · JD Vance 18%
- Auch verfügbar auf Futuur — US Presidential Election Winner in 2028
