Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseOther 57.2%+0.3ptFührend unter 4 Optionen
Prognostiker
32
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+0.3 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert2. Sept. 25, 22:375. Nov. 28, 23:59
Trends
Regeln
Do we really need another market for this topic? Maybe! Multiple choice questions with lots of answers are awkward; this one will aim to have few answers rather than being all-inclusive.
- These seem to be the major other markets for this question:
- @/Tetraspace/who-will-be-elected-president-in-20
- @/goldenes56/who-will-be-elected-president-in-th-6ecda2cc8128@/ManifoldPolitics/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-a84qq6ejnj
- @/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a
- If any option (including other) is trading in the top 3, or >20%, in either of those markets for at least 48 hours, I'll add it to this one (please feel encouraged to point out if this is happening!).
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
- Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets — Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election? · JD Vance 19%
- Auch verfügbar auf Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winner · JVAN 22%
- Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 23%
- Auch verfügbar auf Limitless — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 20%
- Auch verfügbar auf Smarkets — 2028 Presidential Election Winner · JD Vance 18%
- Auch verfügbar auf Futuur — US Presidential Election Winner in 2028 · Gavin Newsom 28%
- Auch verfügbar auf PredictIt — Who will win the 2028 US presidential election? · JD Vance 22%
- Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi — 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? · J.D. Vance 19%
Offene Märkte
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18.8%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt12.9%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 165,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2 Mio. €
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham-1.0pt58.7%
- Ralph Norman33%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 14 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 947.716,1 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+3.0pt76%
- October 31+7.5pt60%
- September 30+5.0pt41%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva61.8%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.8pt34.3%
- Renan Santos-0.6pt2.9%
+15 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party85.9%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.1%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 21,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 468.343,1 €
- Next French Presidential Election
- South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Ohio Governor winner?
- Oklahoma Republican Governor nominee?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Who will be elected President in 2028? (limited choices)?
- Manifold Markets bewertet Other mit 57% (Stand: 25. August 2026).
- Wann wird Who will be elected President in 2028? (limited choices) entschieden?
- Who will be elected President in 2028? (limited choices) soll am 5. November 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Who will be elected President in 2028? (limited choices) abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Do we really need another market for this topic? Maybe! Multiple choice questions with lots of answers are awkward; this one will aim to have few answers rather than being all-inclusive.
- Wo wird Who will be elected President in 2028? (limited choices) außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Manifold Markets, Robinhood (Rothera), Polymarket, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur, PredictIt, Kalshi gelistet.