Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Manifold think Trump made a serious attempt to remain in power at the end of his term?
Will Trump make IVF free?
Will Trump make Cuba an American Territory?
Will Trump make a statement supporting mainland China over Taiwan during his term?
What changes will Trump make to the Department of Education by the end of his term? Will he kill the Department and how?
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
Regeln
The attempt does not have to be successful, but it needs to involve some effort and political capital; not just a throwaway comment here and there.
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