Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 90.7%
Prognostiker
126
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet21. Aug. 24, 06:37 UTC1. Jan. 29, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Trump Pardon SBF by the end of January 2029?
Manifold MarketsWho will Trump pardon?
Kalshi[Add Answers] What people or groups will Trump pardon or commute the sentences of? (After 12/3/25)
Manifold MarketsWill Trump pardon Luigi Mangione prior to Jan 20, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell during his term?
FutuurRegeln
(@JoelBecker and I put a handshake bet on this at 2%, my $10 to his $490)
- Update 2025-03-09: Dropping the conditional "If Elected" from the title, as Trump won election.
- Update 2025-03-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria Update:
- The market will resolve after Trump's current term ends
- The market will resolve if a pardon occurs
- Resolution happens at the earliest of the above events
