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If Trump is elected in 2024, he finish his second term?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump is elected in 2024, will he be impeached again?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump is elected, will he attempt to pardon himself?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump is elected, will the US still be a liberal democracy at the end of his term? (V-DEM)
Manifold MarketsGas exceeds $4.50, and democrats control both House and Senate?
Manifold MarketsWill gas hit __ by end of October?
PolymarketRegeln
Which of Donald Trump's campaign promises will he actually achieve?
- All options are taken from https://www.donaldjtrump.com/issues or https://www.donaldjtrump.com/agenda47/agenda47-cementing-fair-and-reciprocal-trade-with-the-trump-reciprocal-trade-act
- Resolves YES for any items that have been achieved by the end of his presidency.
- They have to actually have been achieved (for example, a bill has passed to ban trans women from participating in women's sports, a constitutional amendment has been passed), though it doesn't have to be the most complete version, just enough that it's reasonable to say that it has been achieved (for example, trans women could be banned at the high school level but not college level).
- He doesn't have to have directly caused it to happen, it just has to have happened.
- They do have to have occurred nationwide however (so individual states banning trans women would not count without a nationwide ban).
