Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNever 91.9%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Prognostiker
67
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Stunden
Veraltet19. Aug. 23, 00:15 UTC1. Feb. 29, 04:59 UTC
Trends
0.1%
0.1%
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
In which years will Trump Serve Time? [Unlinked Multiple Choice]
Manifold MarketsTrump to serve his full term?
FutuurWill Donald Trump ever serve time in prison?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Trump serve time?
Manifold MarketsTrump To Serve Second Term In Full
SmarketsDonald Trump to serve as president for 9+ years by end of 2030
SmarketsRegeln
Resolves based on day that his custodial sentence starts, or "never" if he dies without serving a custodial sentence.
- What counts?
- Prison, jail or the named outcome pre-conviction does not, must be serving a sentence.
- Prison, jail or the named outcome post-conviction counts.
- Community service, probation, and other non-custodial sentences do not count.
- It does not count if he is pardoned or otherwise granted clemency before his sentence begins.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für How will Trump serve time??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Never mit 92% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird How will Trump serve time? entschieden?
- How will Trump serve time? soll am 1. Februar 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird How will Trump serve time? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves based on day that his custodial sentence starts, or "never" if he dies without serving a custodial sentence.