Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseDismissed on procedural grounds 56.5%Führend unter 6 Optionen
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12
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multiple choice
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Veraltet31. März 26, 21:21 UTC31. Dez. 27, 22:16 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant certiorari to hear the White House Ballroom case by the end of their 2026-2027 term?
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Manifold MarketsWhite House ballroom completed before the end of Trump's second term?
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KalshiWho will be the next White House press secretary?
PredictItRegeln
Buckets here are trying their best to be mutually exclusive.
- Resolves to whatever happens in the highest / last court to rule on this case (NTHP v the US)
- Trump / Defendants Win on Merits (Executive Authority Affirmed): The highest court rules that the administration does possess the statutory or constitutional authority to proceed with the privately funded construction, permanently lifting the injunction based on the merits of the case.
- the named outcome (Injunction Upheld): The highest court to issue a final ruling affirms Judge Leon's core argument—that the executive branch lacks the authority to execute this specific project without express Congressional authorization.
- The injunction becomes permanent.
- Dismissal on Procedural Grounds (Standing / Justiciability): An appellate court or the Supreme Court throws the case out without ruling on the underlying executive power question.
