Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Research 61.1%Führend unter 3 Optionen
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 17 Stunden
Veraltet17. Apr. 24, 19:33 UTC1. Dez. 26, 00:00 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
How will MIRI allocate funding between its program areas in 2027?
Manifold MarketsHow will MIRI allocate funding between its program areas in 2026?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiBest AI in Sep 2026?
KalshiLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketGemini 4.0 released by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves according to the ratios given in MIRI's Form 990 filing for 2025.
- N/A if MIRI does not exist in 2025.
Offene Märkte
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 224.720,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 160.486,9 €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,3 Mio. €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 344.925,6 €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,1 Mio. €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für How will MIRI allocate funding between its program areas in 2025??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Research mit 61% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird How will MIRI allocate funding between its program areas in 2025? entschieden?
- How will MIRI allocate funding between its program areas in 2025? soll am 1. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird How will MIRI allocate funding between its program areas in 2025? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves according to the ratios given in MIRI's Form 990 filing for 2025.