Aktuelle Community-Prognose
More than 10x 36%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Prognostiker
7
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 18 Stunden
Veraltet14. Juli 26, 00:30 UTC31. Dez. 30, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the market for AI Inference chips be 2X larger than the market for training chips at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the market for AI Inference chips be 5X larger than the market for training chips at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be an AI inference compute crunch in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the market for AI inference chips be MUCH larger than the market for training chips at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsOpenRouter AI token usage Oct 26 to Nov 22?
PolymarketOpenRouter token usage week of October 26?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- Primary metric: The year-over-year growth multiplier in global AI inference token usage (measured either as total annual tokens processed or average monthly/daily tokens processed) from the full year 2029 to the full year 2030.
- Answer options:
- the named outcome: Growth is less than a 2-fold increase (a multiplier of < 2.0x, i.e., < 100% growth).
- the named outcome: Growth is at least 2.0x but less than 5.0x.
- the named outcome: Growth is at least 5.0x but less than 10.0x.
