Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose15–19 30.1%Führend unter 7 Optionen
Prognostiker
30
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert27. Nov. 23, 23:19 UTC1. Jan. 28, 12:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Human moon landing in 2026?
PolymarketWill SpaceX perform Falcon 9 commercial rocket launches after 2028?
Manifold MarketsArtemis program lunar landing success discourages chinese moon landing ambitions?
Manifold MarketsWill Artemis 3 be a crewed moon landing?
Manifold MarketsHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiRegeln
This market resolves to the number of non-test rocket launches, intended to fly to space, that contribute (or are intended to contribute) to the first Artemis human moon landing mission mission (previously planned to be Artemis III), that are specific to the Artemis program.
- Other Artemis launches that deliver (or intend to deliver) equipment to lunar orbit or the lunar surface count, if that equipment is intended to be available for use in the first Artemis human moon landing mission (whether it is actually used or not).
- Previous Artemis launches that do not leave anything behind intended to be available for use in the first moon landing mission do not count.
- Launches that deliver general communications satellites to Earth orbit, that might be used during the moon landing mission do not count.
- That is, I am not going to count all of Starlink, or any other existing communications satellites, or any future communications satellite launches to Earth orbit, if they are general-purpose (even if their upgrade is prompted by the Artemis program, or anything like that).
- A launch to deliver a satellite to lunar orbit (or a halo orbit associated with an Earth-Moon Lagrange point) specifically as part of the Artemis program, however, will count (even if the satellite is somewhat general-purpose and may outlast the Artemis program) - if NASA or SpaceX or some other official partner in the Artemis program describes such a satellite as being part of the Artemis program, and as long as it is intended to be available for use in the first Artemis human moon landing mission, it will count.
Offene Märkte
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 944.111,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 721.811,5 €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
- No73%
- Yes27%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 620.000,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 536.049,8 €
KALSHIGuyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons
- Guyana Amazon Warriors+4.0pt66.3%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons-3.0pt33.7%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 514.924,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 496.890,6 €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- BTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- BTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für How many rocket launches will be needed for the first Artemis human moon-landing mission??
- Manifold Markets bewertet 15–19 mit 30% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird How many rocket launches will be needed for the first Artemis human moon-landing mission? entschieden?
- How many rocket launches will be needed for the first Artemis human moon-landing mission? soll am 1. Januar 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird How many rocket launches will be needed for the first Artemis human moon-landing mission? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market resolves to the number of non-test rocket launches, intended to fly to space, that contribute (or are intended to contribute) to the first Artemis human moon landing mission mission (previously planned to be Artemis III), that are specific to the Artemis program.