Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Will greenhouse-gas emissions decrease? [Lower annual territorial emissions, excluding land use and forestry, Umweltbundesamt] 69%+19.0ptFührend unter 6 Optionen
Prognostiker
3
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+19.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden
Veraltet20. Sept. 26, 07:34 UTC31. Dez. 30, 23:59 UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRegeln
This market forecasts changes in Germany following the AfD’s entry into federal government.
- Each answer resolves independently.
- “Enters government” means an AfD Bundeskanzler and AFD-lead coalition.
- Let Y be the calendar year in which this first happens after this market’s preparation.
- We compare annual figures for Y−1, the last calendar year before entry, with Y+3, the third full calendar year after entry.
- Each answer resolves YES if its stated change occurs, and NO otherwise.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Germany after the AfD enters federal government: objective measures?
- Manifold Markets bewertet Will greenhouse-gas emissions decrease? [Lower annual territorial emissions, excluding land use and forestry, Umweltbundesamt] mit 69% (Stand: 21. September 2026).
- Wann wird Germany after the AfD enters federal government: objective measures entschieden?
- Germany after the AfD enters federal government: objective measures soll am 31. Dezember 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Germany after the AfD enters federal government: objective measures abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market forecasts changes in Germany following the AfD’s entry into federal government.