Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 29.10.2026, 13:40 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
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Veraltet18. Jan. 26, 00:26 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Macron activates article 16 of the French constitution (exceptional powers) before April 2027
Manifold MarketsWill Moistcritikal / penguinz0 's lawsuit against the US Immigration Dept result in overturning their initial rulings?
Manifold MarketsWill a major terrorist attack with over 100 casualties be committed against the US during Trump's current term?
Manifold MarketsWill the Machines rise up against us?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the US enter a recession in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolves YES if the EU formally activates the Anti-Coercion Instrument (sometimes known as the trade bazooka) against the United States—meaning the Council confirms by qualified majority that US measures constitute economic coercion under Regulation 2023/2675—before January 1, 2027 CET.
- Preliminary Commission examination or political threats to use the ACI do not count; only a formal Council determination triggers resolution.
