Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 90.7%
Prognostiker
16
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 21 Stunden
Veraltet18. Jan. 26, 00:26 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Macron activates article 16 of the French constitution (exceptional powers) before April 2027
Manifold MarketsWill Moistcritikal / penguinz0 's lawsuit against the US Immigration Dept result in overturning their initial rulings?
Manifold MarketsWill a major terrorist attack with over 100 casualties be committed against the US during Trump's current term?
Manifold MarketsWill the Machines rise up against us?
Manifold MarketsWill the US enter a recession in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill penalties for NATO countries not meeting the 2% of GDP spending target be put in place before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolves YES if the EU formally activates the Anti-Coercion Instrument (sometimes known as the trade bazooka) against the United States—meaning the Council confirms by qualified majority that US measures constitute economic coercion under Regulation 2023/2675—before January 1, 2027 CET.
- Preliminary Commission examination or political threats to use the ACI do not count; only a formal Council determination triggers resolution.
