Aktuelle Community-Prognose
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet10. Aug. 23, 15:52 UTC2. Jan. 33, 07:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2027, according to Berkeley Earth?
Manifold MarketsWill global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2026, according to Berkeley Earth?
Manifold MarketsWill we (temporarily) cross the 3 degrees celcius of global warming by 2026?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketEuropean country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by which date?
PolymarketU.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
PolymarketRegeln
[Temporary market to group comments and feedback.
- I'll adjust the description and terms before officially starting it.
- If lots of people bet before it starts I may NA this one and make another one.
- There will be a series of markets about geoengineering covering different time scales and different organizations doing the work such as the usgov, in, EU, China, as well as other private companies.
- Please let me know what you think here or in discord]
- Musk, an existing company he founded, or a future company he founds will announce actual projects happening to do very large scale geoengineering to effect or relieve global warming by removing carbon from the atmosphere, or by reducing light absorption to the atmosphere using solar sails or umbrellas, or by emitting sulfur to reflect more light, or other project large scale.
Offene Märkte
ChinaPOLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 11,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 40.443,3 €
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No+0.5pt73.3%
- Yes-0.5pt26.7%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 384.162,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 28.351 €
POLYMARKETValorant: Bilibili Gaming vs KeepBest Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 3 Playoffs
- Handicap: KBG (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)+59.5pt100%
- 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5+49.5pt100%
- 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5+50.0pt100%
KALSHIChina vs Puerto Rico
- China+1.0pt78.4%
- Puerto Rico21.6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 25.410,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 24.906,4 €
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 35,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 22.262,1 €
POLYMARKETWorlds 2026 Winning Region
- LCK (South Korea)+0.5pt66%
- LPL (China)25.2%
- LEC (Europe / EMEA)-0.1pt5.8%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Will Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Unsettled Resentment vs. TEC Esports
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 10?
- China vs Puerto Rico: Spread
- Valorant: TEC Esports vs Unsettled Resentment (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 3 Playoffs
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- Puerto Rico vs. China
- Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Top Chinese AI Company week of September 14th
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für [don't bet yet, finalizing details] Will a Musk Company or Elon do large geoengineering projects for global warming??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 51% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird [don't bet yet, finalizing details] Will a Musk Company or Elon do large geoengineering projects for global warming? entschieden?
- [don't bet yet, finalizing details] Will a Musk Company or Elon do large geoengineering projects for global warming? soll am 2. Januar 2033 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird [don't bet yet, finalizing details] Will a Musk Company or Elon do large geoengineering projects for global warming? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: [Temporary market to group comments and feedback.