Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseHakeem Jeffries & Chuck Schumer 46.2%+6.9ptFührend unter 4 Optionen
Prognostiker
7
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+6.9 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Minuten
21. März 26, 22:27 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which party will control congress after the 2028 elections
Manifold MarketsDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket2028 Democratic presidential nominee
KalshiWhich party will win the U.S. House?
Kalshi2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves according to the leaders of the house Democratic caucus and senate Democratic caucus after votes have been cast for their leaders, temporary or acting leaders don’t count.
- Does not matter if the caucus is in the majority or minority, this is caucus vote not speaker vote.
- Hakeem Jeffries and NOT Jeffries are the house options, Chuck Schumer and NOT Schumer are the senate options.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsKALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom13.5%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 193,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 710.810,1 €
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Cuba / Cuban99%
+34 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 584.570,8 €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.3pt91.1%
- Republican Party-0.7pt8.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 29,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 407.519,2 €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt60%
- D-House, R-Senate30%
- Republicans sweep-0.6pt9%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 14,9 Mio. €
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.8pt3%
- April 300%
- June 300%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- December+0.5pt21%
- October+0.5pt13%
- September 30,-0.3pt4%
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Brazil Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Democratic Leaders in Congress after 2026 elections??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Hakeem Jeffries & Chuck Schumer mit 46% (Stand: 21. September 2026).
- Wann wird Democratic Leaders in Congress after 2026 elections? entschieden?
- Democratic Leaders in Congress after 2026 elections? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Democratic Leaders in Congress after 2026 elections? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves according to the leaders of the house Democratic caucus and senate Democratic caucus after votes have been cast for their leaders, temporary or acting leaders don’t count.