Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 94%
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Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet17. Nov. 23, 19:29 UTC1. Jan. 00, 07:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
What percentage of dark matter is baryonic?
Manifold MarketsLeading dark matter explanation by January 2045
Manifold MarketsWhat is dark matter?
Manifold MarketsRussian Luna-27 probe to find resources that can be used as fuel on the lunar soil by the end of 2028?
FutuurWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiRegeln
By analogy to a high-bypass turbofan engine, which achieves high efficiency by giving a small push to a large quantity of inert air (or a wing, which gives an even smaller push to an even larger quantity of inert air), if one discovered a way to push/pull dark matter around, that could be used to achieve vastly more efficient space travel by having all this extra inert reaction mass that you don't have to carry with you.
- Energy is quadratically related to velocity, but momentum is linearly related to velocity, so you get a lot more momentum per unit of energy when you have a lot of mass to push around at low relative velocity.
Offene Märkte
Space
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 103.065,4 €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 57.371,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 57.371,5 €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 817.857 €
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Dark matter used as reaction mass by spacecraft before 2100?
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 94% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Dark matter used as reaction mass by spacecraft before 2100 entschieden?
- Dark matter used as reaction mass by spacecraft before 2100 soll am 1. Januar 2100 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Dark matter used as reaction mass by spacecraft before 2100 abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: By analogy to a high-bypass turbofan engine, which achieves high efficiency by giving a small push to a large quantity of inert air (or a wing, which gives an even smaller push to an even larger quantity of inert air), if one discovered a way to push/pull dark matter around, that could be used to achieve vastly more efficient space travel by having all this extra inert reaction mass that you don't have to carry with you.