Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 75.7%
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11
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Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Stunden
Veraltet27. Feb. 24, 12:44 UTC1. Jan. 28, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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KalshiRegeln
A famous person in this case is anyone who has a Wikipedia page.
- Although most people who would have a deepfake made of them are most likely to be famous so I’m not anticipating this to be a random person with a Wikipedia page.
- A deepfake will count even if the organizations backtrack if they originally reported it as a real video then it counts.
Offene Märkte
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für By the end of 2027 will a deepfake of a famous person be reported as real by mainstream news organizations?
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 76% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird By the end of 2027 will a deepfake of a famous person be reported as real by mainstream news organizations entschieden?
- By the end of 2027 will a deepfake of a famous person be reported as real by mainstream news organizations soll am 1. Januar 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird By the end of 2027 will a deepfake of a famous person be reported as real by mainstream news organizations abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: A famous person in this case is anyone who has a Wikipedia page.