By the end of 2026 will there be a mostly AI generated game with $1 million or more in revenue?
KIOne-Off3Mon
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 80.3%
Prognostiker
86
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden
Veraltet19. Dez. 22, 20:32 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
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This market seeks to predict the ability to use AI to generate meaningful parts of an impressive game.
- We are not concerned with precision down to the level of generating a good Settings menu, but trying to take a qualitative look at how relevant overall the AI is.
- Individual examples that would cause this market to resolve YES: - All (or the overwhelming majority) of assets are AI generated -> YES - All game mechanics are AI generated -> YES - All the story / dialogue elements are AI generated in a visual novel -> YES
- At the end of 2026 if this market closes and no game has met the critera, this market will resolve NO.
- What counts as a game?
- I am fleshing out two main requirements: 1.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für By the end of 2026 will there be a mostly AI generated game with $1 million or more in revenue??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 80% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird By the end of 2026 will there be a mostly AI generated game with $1 million or more in revenue? entschieden?
- By the end of 2026 will there be a mostly AI generated game with $1 million or more in revenue? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird By the end of 2026 will there be a mostly AI generated game with $1 million or more in revenue? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market seeks to predict the ability to use AI to generate meaningful parts of an impressive game.