Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 83.2%
Prognostiker
279
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Stunden
Veraltet12. Apr. 23, 01:48 UTC1. Jan. 29, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will AI-generated child porn be legalized in the US before 2030?
Manifold MarketsBy the end of 2028, will any of the Merriam-Webster Word of the Year finalists be AI-generated?
Manifold MarketsWill AI-generated music receive a Grammy nomination by end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a movie that has at least some AI-generated dialogue win an Oscar by EOY 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhich companies will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before 2027?
KalshiWho is Dwarkesh's upcoming "biggest guest yet"?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Update 2026-09-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market will be resolved based on the situation at the close of the market (end of 2028), rather than resolving immediately if the category is created at some point but later removed.
