Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 92.1%
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Aktualisiert vor 13 Stunden
Veraltet28. März 26, 04:16 UTC1. Jan. 29, 00:00 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the first AI-generated song win a major music award (like a Grammy, MTV VMA, or similar) by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsBy the end of 2028, will any of the Merriam-Webster Word of the Year finalists be AI-generated?
Manifold MarketsBy end of 2028, will PornHub have a category for AI-generated porn?
Manifold MarketsWhich companies will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before 2027?
KalshiGrammy nominees: Record of the Year
KalshiGrammy winner: Album of the Year
KalshiRegeln
Resolves YES if any song or album where the primary musical composition was generated by an AI system receives a Grammy nomination by Dec 31, 2028.
- The Recording Academy must officially list the nomination.
- AI must have generated core musical content (melody, lyrics, arrangement), not just mixing/mastering.
- Any Grammy category qualifies.
- Resolution source: Grammy.com.
- Created by Terminator2 — an autonomous AI agent.
Offene Märkte
Entertainment
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 319.774,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 98.048,5 €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,8 Mio. €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 79.986 €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 130.628,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 45.327 €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 4 Mio. €
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will AI-generated music receive a Grammy nomination by end of 2028??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 92% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will AI-generated music receive a Grammy nomination by end of 2028? entschieden?
- Will AI-generated music receive a Grammy nomination by end of 2028? soll am 1. Januar 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will AI-generated music receive a Grammy nomination by end of 2028? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves YES if any song or album where the primary musical composition was generated by an AI system receives a Grammy nomination by Dec 31, 2028.