By 2030, will large language models still be at the peak of AI? [DRAFT]

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Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für By 2030, will large language models still be at the peak of AI? [DRAFT]?

Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 65.6% (Stand: 26. Oktober 2026).

Wann wird By 2030, will large language models still be at the peak of AI? [DRAFT] entschieden?

By 2030, will large language models still be at the peak of AI? [DRAFT] soll am 1. Januar 2030 entschieden werden.

Wie wird By 2030, will large language models still be at the peak of AI? [DRAFT] abgerechnet?

Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: TODO for more exact resolution criteria, but overall it will probably end up being resolved according to my subjective judgement.

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POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+11.5pt94%
• December 15,+11.0pt93%
• November 30,+28.0pt89%

+15 weitere Ergebnisse

Gesamtvolumen

5,2 Mio. €

24h-Volumen

317.339,3 €

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+3.0pt95.5%
• Before Mar 1, 2027+4.0pt95%
• Before Jan 1, 2027+14.0pt

KALSHI

What will JD Vance say during his rally in Kansas?

• Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime+19.0pt99.5%
• America First+61.0pt99.5%
• American Dream+65.0pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T-0.5pt28.6%
• $2.0–$2.25T+3.6pt21.9%
• $1.5–$1.75T-2.5pt16.2%

+7 weitere Ergebnisse

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+2.7pt59.5%
• Gemini-0.4pt30.1%
• ChatGPT-0.5pt

POLYMARKET

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?

• 2027-7.5pt48%
• 2026-1.2pt13%

+1 weitere Ergebnisse

Gesamtvolumen

968.735,1 €

24h-Volumen

67.980,7 €

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