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Veraltet25. Mai 24, 22:11 UTC2. Jan. 35, 06:59 UTC
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Before 2035, will there exist any AI that can perform arbitrary tasks in Minecraft?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a commercially available humanoid android that can perform basic household tasks by 2035?
Manifold MarketsBy 2028, AI can perform as well as the best human entrants in the Putnam competition.
Manifold MarketsDoes there exist a 3x3 magic square of square numbers?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
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This is an equivalent question to https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/before-2035-will-there-exist-any-ai, except that it resolves based on my judgment instead of @IsaacKing's.
- I expect it to resolve the same, but this is not guaranteed and I will evaluate as independently as possible.
- I may copy clarifications from that market, but that is per my judgment.
- The AI is provided with a clear description of a task that a normal smart human could perform, in English.
- For example, "defeat the ender dragon using only wooden swords as your weapons", "build a creeper farm out of TNT", "create an 8-bit addition machine with redstone", "locate the nearest witch hut to coordinates [1024, 1024]", "fill that chest with eggs in less than 24 hours", etc. It must be capable of performing the task with similar efficiency and outcomes to a competent and knowledgeable human, in a large multiplayer server.
