Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 86.3%
Prognostiker
15
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Stunden
Veraltet24. Nov. 25, 07:43 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Candace Owens divorced by December 31, 2027?
PolymarketBrigitte Macron wins defamation suit against Candace Owens before 2028?
KalshiWill Candace Owens run for president before the end of 2032 as joked by Sam Harris?
Manifold MarketsWill Candace Owens ever become the President of the USA?
Manifold MarketsWill Candace Owens divorce George Farmer before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketRegeln
Candace Owen’s claimed on Twitter that French president, Emmanuel Macron, is plotting to have her murdered.
- The market resolves to Yes if at least one major news outlet (e.g., NYT, Washington Post, LA Times) reports that the incident was an independent attack on her.
- If any such report characterizes the incident as possibly staged or not clearly an independent attack, the market will not resolve to Yes.”