End of 2026, will Tumbles think it was good Trump unilaterally removed Maduro?
One-OffUS PoliticsLatin America3MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 70%
Prognostiker
28
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Stunden
Veraltet3. Jan. 26, 22:12 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Trump pardon Nicolás Maduro or commute his sentence in 2026?
PredictItWill former Venezuelan president Nicolaus Maduro come back to power in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill we learn by 2027 that Maduro’s ouster was an internal coup with US assistance?
Manifold MarketsWill Maduro be released before 2027?
Manifold MarketsAny Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
PolymarketMaduro Prison Time?
PolymarketRegeln
Currently not sure.
- If I'm still unsure at the end of the year, I'll still make a judgment call and resolve YES or NO.
- Context and considerations:
- I'm a Canadian liberal type who hates Trump
- I'm a bit hawkish in general in regards to foreign policy
- Maduro seems like a pretty bad dude, Venezuelans as a people seem pretty happy
Offene Märkte
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 693.010,4 €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,1 Mio. €
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.1%
- Marco Rubio20.6%
- Ron DeSantis4.9%
+35 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 54,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 266.941,4 €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 12,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 248.725,9 €
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für End of 2026, will Tumbles think it was good Trump unilaterally removed Maduro??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 70% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird End of 2026, will Tumbles think it was good Trump unilaterally removed Maduro? entschieden?
- End of 2026, will Tumbles think it was good Trump unilaterally removed Maduro? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird End of 2026, will Tumbles think it was good Trump unilaterally removed Maduro? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Currently not sure.