Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose≥$1.5T 90%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Prognostiker
3
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Stunden
Veraltet21. Mai 26, 19:10 UTC1. Okt. 27, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
OpenAI highest valuation by end of September 2027
Manifold MarketsSpaceX highest valuation by end of September 2027
Manifold MarketsAnthropic highest valuation by end of September 2026
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketWill Epic Games' valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketWill Kraken's valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for Anthropic credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2027-09-30.
- Pre-IPO: valuation is set by primary funding rounds, tender offers, or IPO pricing.
- Secondary transactions between existing investors do not count — they reflect individual trades, not company-endorsed valuation events.
- Post-IPO: valuation = peak market cap between IPO and 2027-09-30 (highest closing share price × shares outstanding at that time).
- ≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO at close.
- Company announcements; SEC filings (S-1, 424B, 10-Q, 10-K); major financial press (The Information, Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ).
Offene Märkte
Regulation
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+3.0pt46%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-1.0pt37%
- Before Jul 1, 2027+3.0pt34%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 5,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 99.494,8 €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No80.2%
- Yes19.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 13,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 80.715,3 €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+1.5pt91%
- December 15,+4.5pt90%
- November 30,+5.5pt89%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 202798%
- Before Apr 1, 202795%
- Before Feb 1, 202792%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 16.614 €
POLYMARKETDiscord IPO Closing Market Cap
- No IPO by December 31, 2027+27.3pt70.6%
- 11–14B-8.8pt10.8%
- 8–11B-3.3pt4.9%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWill the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-3.0pt37.6%
- Before Sep 1, 202724.8%
- Before April 1, 202723.1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 264.428,3 €
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
- How many Idaho groundwater rights will be curtailed in 2027?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Oklahoma vs Michigan
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Will Alabama cut its state grocery tax again?
- Ohio State vs Texas
- Will Epic Games' valuation hit __ by September 30?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Anthropic highest valuation by end of September 2027?
- Manifold Markets bewertet ≥$1.5T mit 90% (Stand: 12. September 2026).
- Wann wird Anthropic highest valuation by end of September 2027 entschieden?
- Anthropic highest valuation by end of September 2027 soll am 1. Oktober 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Anthropic highest valuation by end of September 2027 abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for Anthropic credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2027-09-30.