Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 82.9%
Prognostiker
11
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 20 Stunden
Veraltet13. Nov. 25, 08:02 UTC30. Juni 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Ilya Sutskever and Andrej Karpathy back working together by mid 2029
Manifold MarketsWill Andrej Karpathy get a personal chromatography/spectroscopy machine? [for purity testing] by 2030
Manifold MarketsAndrej Karpathy's Eureka Labs valued at >$1B by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Andrej Karpathy leave Anthropic in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho is Dwarkesh's upcoming "biggest guest yet"?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRegeln
Either joining the same company, starting one together or other method of being in the same organization.
- The minimum participation level is "working".
- Participation levels that don't count:
- For Elon, it being any of his companies counts.
- If the working together is at another company then they both must meet the following; if it's at a current-day or future Elon founded company, then only Andrej has to meet this standard:
- They both have to be a member of the org and doing work at the same time.
