Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für America Nationalizes Major AI org before 2029?

Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 72% (Stand: 20. Oktober 2026).

Wann wird America Nationalizes Major AI org before 2029 entschieden?

America Nationalizes Major AI org before 2029 soll am 31. Dezember 2028 entschieden werden.

Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria

Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriert

Aktuelle Community-Prognose

Nein 72%

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Fragetyp

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Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

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Aktualisiert vor 7 Stunden

Veraltet

18. Juli 25, 01:59 UTC31. Dez. 28, 23:59 UTC

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Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, before January 1, 2029, the United States federal government assumes ownership or control of a major artificial intelligence (AI) laboratory. "Major AI laboratory" refers to a leading organization primarily engaged in AI research and development, such as OpenAI, DeepMind, or similar entities.
The resolution will be based on credible reports from reputable news outlets or official government announcements confirming such nationalization.
If no such event occurs by the specified date, the market will resolve to "No."
Nationalization involves transferring private assets into public ownership by a government.
Historically, the U.S. has nationalized industries during crises, such as the federal takeover of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac during the 2008 financial crisis (en.wikipedia.org).