Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 92.6%
Prognostiker
11
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Minuten
12. März 26, 12:48 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil's Supreme Court?
KalshiWill Brazil's Senate open impeachment proceedings against Alexandre de Moraes?
KalshiDias Toffoli out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice by ?
FutuurImpeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026?
FutuurBrazil's Supreme Court expanded to more than 11 seats by the end of 2026?
FutuurBrazil Supreme Court decisions still behind captcha by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market resolves to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to serve as a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court (STF) for any period of time between the market creation date and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, it resolves to “No.”
- If Alexandre de Moraes’s resignation, removal, suspension, or any other departure from the Court is officially announced before the market end date, the market will resolve to “Yes” immediately, regardless of when that change takes effect.
- Resolution will be based primarily on official statements or records from Alexandre de Moraes and the Brazilian government.
- In the absence of clear official confirmation, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
- Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket — Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? · No 79%
- Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi — Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil's Supreme Court? · Before Jan 1, 2028 75%
- Auch verfügbar auf Futuur — Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice in 2026? · No 93%
