Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 63.4%
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11
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert2. Jan. 26, 07:39 UTC5. Jan. 27, 07:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will I regret working a side job in a restaurant instead of focusing on my software engineering career?
Manifold MarketsWill models be able to do the work of an AI researcher/engineer before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Large Language Models be able to match up all queries of my real name matched up with all my online handles by 2026
Manifold MarketsWill more US AI models be subject to US export control directives by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiRegeln
This is a prediction from https://www.understandingai.org/p/17-predictions-for-ai-in-2026
- It will resolve according to the judgement of the authors.
- If they don't publish a retrospective by the end of February, it will resolve according to my judgement.