Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseEl Sayed 1% or more 72.8%-4.2ptFührend unter 15 Optionen
Prognostiker
73
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+2.8 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Minuten
30. Okt. 26, 23:44 UTC4. Nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExAbdul El Sayed Winning margin in 2026 Michigan Senate election?
Manifold MarketsWill Abdul El-Sayed win by a larger margin than James Talarico does?
Manifold MarketsWill Abdul El Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Election by 5% or more?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance swear in Abdul El-Sayed?
Manifold MarketsAbdul El-Sayed runs behind Jocelyn Benson by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves based on the official certified general election results published by the Michigan Department of State / Michigan Board of State Canvassers.
- Can resolve early if reporting from Associated Press has a clear resolution.
- Margin of victory is calculated as the difference between the percentage of the total votes received by Abdul El-Sayed and the percentage received by Mike Rogers (i.e., El-Sayed % - Rogers %), rounded to the nearest tenth of a percentage point.
- multiple threshold options can resolve YES:
- El Sayed wins: Resolves YES if Abdul El-Sayed receives more votes than Mike Rogers.
