Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 66.2%
Prognostiker
4
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert31. Okt. 26, 10:34 UTC31. Jan. 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Abdul El Sayed Margin Of Victory?
Manifold MarketsWill Abdul El Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Election by 5% or more?
Manifold MarketsWill Abdul El Sayed win the primary and general for senate in Michigan?
Manifold MarketsWhat percent of the vote will Abdul El-Sayed get in Highland Park?
Manifold MarketsWill Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExAbdul El-Sayed runs behind Jocelyn Benson by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Some people on Twitter think he won’t want to and the president pro tempore might
- Vice presidents normally always do it
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if JD Vance, serving as Vice President and President of the Senate, administers the oath of office (either the official constitutional oath on the Senate floor or the ceremonial reenactment in the Old Senate Chamber) to Abdul El-Sayed as a United States Senator for the term beginning in January 2027.
- This market resolves to NO if:
- Abdul El-Sayed is not seated or sworn into the U.S. Senate (including if he loses the November 2026 general election to Republican Mike Rogers), or
