Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 61.9%
Prognostiker
10
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
26. Okt. 26, 19:38 UTC4. Nov. 26, 00:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan?
Manifold MarketsAbdul El-Sayed runs behind Jocelyn Benson by which date?
PolymarketAbdul El Sayed Winning margin in 2026 Michigan Senate election?
Manifold MarketsWill Abdul El Sayed win the primary and general for senate in Michigan?
Manifold MarketsWill Abdul El-Sayed win by 7 points or more?
Manifold MarketsWill Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Abdul El-Sayed wins the November 3, 2026 Michigan U.S. Senate election by a larger margin of victory (measured in percentage points of the total vote) than James Talarico wins the November 3, 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election.
- It will also resolve to YES if Abdul el Sayed loses by a smaller margin than Talarico does if both lose.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO, including if:
- James Talarico wins by a larger percentage-point margin than Abdul El-Sayed.
- Both candidates win by the exact same percentage-point margin.
