Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan?
PolitikOne-OffUS-PolitikWahlUS-Zwischenwahlen 20268T
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 26.10.2026, 04:28 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 70%
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27
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Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert5. Aug. 26, 17:54 UTC3. Nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan?
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PolymarketMichigan Senate: which counties will Abdul El-Sayed win?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Abdul El-Sayed is officially certified as the winner of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan.
- The market will resolve to NO if any other candidate (such as Republican nominee Mike Rogers or any third-party/write-in candidate) is certified as the winner, or if the election is won by anyone other than Abdul El-Sayed.
- Source of Truth:
- Resolution will be based on official results published by the Michigan Bureau of Elections / Secretary of State.
- If official certification is delayed, the market may resolve based on a consensus projection from major decision desks (e.g., Associated Press, Decision Desk HQ, major networks), provided there are no active recounts or legal challenges that could plausibly alter the certified outcome.